Is the future a political economy? Functional analysis of three leading foresight and futures studies journals

Abstract : This article tests whether the field of foresight and futures studies shows significant variable selection biases in the modelling of the future in general and the impact of function systems in particular. We performed a word frequency analysis to measure the relative importance of the political system, the economy, science, art, religion, law, sport, health, education, and the mass media to three pertinent journals in the field of futures studies and foresight. The results show that Futures, Long Range Planning, and Technological Forecasting and Social Change have different and changing preferences for the above function systems, an information which authors may find helpful in supporting decisions on where to submit. Our results also show that all journals feature a highly significant bias to the triple helix systems – the political system, the economy, and science. While the latter bias may be adequate to scientific journals, the dominant focus on the political system and the economy as well as the corresponding neglect of the other systems points at implicit presumptions about the importance of the individual systems that may not be in line with their importance to the larger society. Highlights: This article • Shows that present visions of futures are predominantly visions of political economies, and how to change this. • Suggests that solutions to future political and economic key problems might also be in the so-far neglected further function systems. • Proposes a new systematic set of key variables for consideration and inclusion in models and simulations of futures.
Type de document :
Article dans une revue
Futures, Elsevier, 2016, 81, pp.15 - 26. 〈10.1016/j.futures.2015.10.002〉
Liste complète des métadonnées

Littérature citée [58 références]  Voir  Masquer  Télécharger

https://hal-esc-rennes.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01475083
Contributeur : Isabelle Robert <>
Soumis le : mardi 28 février 2017 - 13:56:39
Dernière modification le : mercredi 1 mars 2017 - 01:04:12
Document(s) archivé(s) le : lundi 29 mai 2017 - 12:20:14

Fichier

15-07-29 The future is a polit...
Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Identifiants

Collections

Citation

Steffen Roth, Jari Kaivo-Oja. Is the future a political economy? Functional analysis of three leading foresight and futures studies journals. Futures, Elsevier, 2016, 81, pp.15 - 26. 〈10.1016/j.futures.2015.10.002〉. 〈hal-01475083〉

Partager

Métriques

Consultations de la notice

70

Téléchargements de fichiers

83